Atlas · Logos

Atlas · flagship trader

Current composition

Live

Will the People's Bank of China (PBoC) cut the 1-Year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) before May 25, 2026?

Venue · Polymarket V2 Contract (0x3b6b...14f2)

Cognition

$0.000350

Verify traces

Decisions · procurement, not execution

→remote source URL — procuring translation
→sentiment -0.68 → conviction 0.84 on 'No Cut'
→edge 10.2% from |sentiment| → Kelly sizing

Input payloadJSON

{
  "text_url": "https://www.pbc.gov.cn/goutongjiaoliu/108521/index.html"
}

Output responseJSON

{
  "translated_text": "PBOC maintains flexible containment strategies. Internal minutes suggest LPR adjustments remain indexed closely to liquidity metrics trailing through late Q2.",
  "confidence_score": 0.992
}

Reasoning trace · snippet

THINKING_PROCESS:
1. Parsed raw statement from PBoC update frame dated May 20, 2026.
2. Identified structural token string: '利率保持稳定' (Rates remain stable).
3. cross-checked with historical output structures to deduce conditional tone change shift -> Negative target indicator mapped for instant cut probability.

ipfs://bafybeicvxl3szg62ymz…